What the Cell phone Effect means to Election 2010

According to studies by the Pew Research Center, there’s a "cell phone effect" that should prompt voters to question the validity of early Election 2010 results. According to the New York Times, land lines are out of style; at least 25 percent of adults use cellular technology exclusively. As numerous poll individuals do not call cell phones, Pew believes that the outcomes could be skewed by up to four points.

Democrats closer with Cell phone Effect

Pew Research claims that the demographic profile for cell phone-only voters – those who made coining the term “cell phone effect” necessary – is younger adults, more urban in localization and frequently a race other than Caucasian. Interestingly, these demographics coincide with those of numerous Democrats. There could possibly be a difference right now with Democrats. They could be four points higher than expected.

Is this a discontentment being shown?

Polls conducted without cell phones by Pew showed Republicans to be ahead by 9.3 points on average. The Cell phone Effect might be part of that when the anger people have with joblessness and also the housing industry with the Obama administration could be there too. Numerous say it’s more attributed to the Cell phone Effect since there is not that kind of swing when cell phones do tend to be integrated. Pew will look more at the Election 2010 data. This will occur when results have come in though.

Those voting may be not impartial

According to Pew Research, there is also bias to be found among those considered probably to vote in Election 2010. Specifically, combined land line/cell phone polls showed a seven-point Republican lead. Out of those people, half supported candidates for the GOP. An additional 43 percent supported the candidates that were Democrats. Land-line only poll estimates among those likely to vote would have given Republicans a whopping 12-point lead, says Pew Research.

Articles cited

New York Times

fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/01/5-reasons-democrats-could-beat-the-polls-and-hold-the-house/

Pew Research Center

pewresearch.org/pubs/1761/cell-phones-and-election-polls-2010-midterm-elections

How the cell phone effect helped Obama in 2008

youtube.com/watch?v=KMmvo73EZHc